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Think Before Finessing

Playing at the local club, I am the dealer with no one vulnerable:

SA106 / HAQ762 / DK / C8543

It's not the greatest 13 HCP, as three of them are the singleton DK, but I have a 1H opening. West passes and partner bids a conventional 2NT, which shows a game-forcing raise in hearts.

Just as I am wondering whether to bid 3D, which would coventionally show a singleton or void in diamonds or whether that's not a good idea with the singleton King, East pipes up and bids 3D himself. Now my DK is an even more questionable value, so I decide to pass. After a pass by West partner bids 4H, which ends the auction.

West naturally leads a diamond (the seven), and partner lays down a dummy that has excellent trump support, but that gives me a problem:

S Q 8
H K J 10 5 3
D 9 3
C A Q 7 6
D7 led
S A 10 6
H A Q 7 6 2
D K
C 8 5 4 3
       
W
N
E
S
1H
P
2NT
3D
P
P
4H
AP

As one might expect, East drops my DK with his Ace. He returns the D4, which I ruff, West playing the D5.

Now here's the problem: I've already lost one trick and still I have three more likely losers, a spade and two clubs. I could draw trump and finesse in clubs. If that works, and clubs are 3-2, I'll lose only one club. But the problem with that plan is that the finesse is probably off. We're missing only 15 HCPs and East bid at the three level, so he's a favorite to hold the missing CK. And the indirect spade finesse is even worse—not only is it likely to be off too, but even if it's on it doesn't help! It would allow me to discard a club from dummy on the SA, but I'd still lose two clubs unless the club finesse is on. The club I discarded would be one that would become established. So that's no use.

Is there a better plan? Yes: I can save a trick if I can force East to lead. Any lead he makes (other than trumps) would help.

So I draw trumps with the King and Ace and lead the C3 toward dummy. I'm hoping to duck this trick to East, who would then be endplayed. The only difficulty is that West could foil my plan by playing an intermediate club, but I'm hoping she won't think to do that. Happily, she plays the C2. I call for the C6, and East is perhaps somewhat surprised to win with the C9.

But then East realizes that he is stuck. A spade or a club back gives me a free finesse, and a diamond gives me a ruff-sluff. After some thought East returns the S4. Now we'll see if I got it right. I play low, and West can only come up with the S9. The SQ wins! I have no spade loser. I come back to the SA and lead a club, finessing the Queen. It loses to East's CK, but I claim the rest. We get 8.23 out of 11 matchpoints.

Moral: Before taking a finesse, especially one that is likely to lose, see if you can force a favorable lead from an opponent.

The full deal was:

 

S Q 8
H K J 10 5 3
D 9 3
C A Q 7 6
S 9 7 5 3 2
H 9
D Q 10 8 7 5
C 10 2
S K J 4
H 8 4
D A J 6 4 2
C K J 9
S A 10 6
H A Q 7 6 2
D K
C 8 5 4 3

P.S.: Come to think of it, even if West plays the C10 on the first club trick, I can still go up with the CA, come back to my hand with a trump, and duck the next club trick into East. East can cash the CK but then is stuck. That would have been even more fun. But I'm not sure I would have thought of it at the time.

[WBL Unit Game, B/C game, 9-8-2016]